Kinea II (Brazil) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 0.23
| KNRE11 Fund | BRL 0.24 0.03 14.29% |
Kinea |
Kinea II Target Price Odds to finish below 0.23
The tendency of Kinea Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 0.23 or more in 90 days |
| 0.24 | 90 days | 0.23 | about 13.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinea II to drop to R$ 0.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.6 (This Kinea II Real probability density function shows the probability of Kinea Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinea II Real price to stay between R$ 0.23 and its current price of R$0.24 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kinea II has a beta of 0.54. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kinea II average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kinea II Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kinea II Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kinea II Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kinea II
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinea II Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kinea II Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinea II is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinea II's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinea II Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinea II within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Kinea II Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinea II for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinea II Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kinea II Real generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kinea II Real has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kinea II Real has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Kinea II Technical Analysis
Kinea II's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinea Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinea II Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinea Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kinea II Predictive Forecast Models
Kinea II's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinea II's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinea II's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kinea II Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinea II for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinea II Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kinea II Real generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kinea II Real has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kinea II Real has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
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