Kofola CeskoSlovensko (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 323.76
| KOFOL Stock | 386.00 2.00 0.52% |
Kofola |
Kofola CeskoSlovensko Target Price Odds to finish over 323.76
The tendency of Kofola Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 323.76 in 90 days |
| 386.00 | 90 days | 323.76 | about 61.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kofola CeskoSlovensko to stay above 323.76 in 90 days from now is about 61.07 (This Kofola CeskoSlovensko as probability density function shows the probability of Kofola Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kofola CeskoSlovensko price to stay between 323.76 and its current price of 386.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kofola CeskoSlovensko as has a beta of -0.31. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kofola CeskoSlovensko are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kofola CeskoSlovensko as has an alpha of 0.4567, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kofola CeskoSlovensko Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kofola CeskoSlovensko
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kofola CeskoSlovensko. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kofola CeskoSlovensko Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kofola CeskoSlovensko is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kofola CeskoSlovensko's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kofola CeskoSlovensko as, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kofola CeskoSlovensko within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Kofola CeskoSlovensko Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kofola CeskoSlovensko for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kofola CeskoSlovensko can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kofola CeskoSlovensko Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kofola Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kofola CeskoSlovensko's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kofola CeskoSlovensko's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0452 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 11.3 | |
| Shares Float | 5.2 M |
Kofola CeskoSlovensko Technical Analysis
Kofola CeskoSlovensko's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kofola Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kofola Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kofola CeskoSlovensko Predictive Forecast Models
Kofola CeskoSlovensko's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kofola CeskoSlovensko's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kofola CeskoSlovensko's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kofola CeskoSlovensko
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kofola CeskoSlovensko for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kofola CeskoSlovensko help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Kofola Stock Analysis
When running Kofola CeskoSlovensko's price analysis, check to measure Kofola CeskoSlovensko's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kofola CeskoSlovensko is operating at the current time. Most of Kofola CeskoSlovensko's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kofola CeskoSlovensko's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kofola CeskoSlovensko's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kofola CeskoSlovensko to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.