Coca Cola (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 164.95
| KOFUBL Stock | 164.29 2.61 1.56% |
Coca |
Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish over 164.95
The tendency of Coca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 164.95 or more in 90 days |
| 164.29 | 90 days | 164.95 | about 61.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to move over 164.95 or more in 90 days from now is about 61.45 (This Coca Cola FEMSA SAB probability density function shows the probability of Coca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca Cola FEMSA price to stay between its current price of 164.29 and 164.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Coca Cola has a beta of 0.33. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Coca Cola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coca Cola FEMSA SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coca Cola FEMSA SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Coca Cola Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Coca Cola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola FEMSA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coca Cola Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coca Cola FEMSA SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Coca Cola Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Coca Cola Technical Analysis
Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models
Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Coca Cola in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Coca Cola's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Coca Cola options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca Stock
When determining whether Coca Cola FEMSA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Coca Cola's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Coca Cola's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Coca Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.