Kohinoor Foods (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.63
| KOHINOOR | 40.85 1.32 3.34% |
Kohinoor |
Kohinoor Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 31.63
The tendency of Kohinoor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 31.63 or more in 90 days |
| 40.85 | 90 days | 31.63 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kohinoor Foods to drop to 31.63 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kohinoor Foods Limited probability density function shows the probability of Kohinoor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kohinoor Foods price to stay between 31.63 and its current price of 40.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kohinoor Foods has a beta of 0.41. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kohinoor Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kohinoor Foods Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kohinoor Foods Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kohinoor Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kohinoor Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kohinoor Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kohinoor Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kohinoor Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kohinoor Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kohinoor Foods Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kohinoor Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Kohinoor Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kohinoor Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kohinoor Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kohinoor Foods had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kohinoor Foods has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 951 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 499.77 M. | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kohinoor Foods Standalone September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 23. crore, up 6.17 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Kohinoor Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kohinoor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kohinoor Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kohinoor Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Kohinoor Foods Technical Analysis
Kohinoor Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kohinoor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kohinoor Foods Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kohinoor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kohinoor Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Kohinoor Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kohinoor Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kohinoor Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kohinoor Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kohinoor Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kohinoor Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kohinoor Foods had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kohinoor Foods has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 951 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 499.77 M. | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kohinoor Foods Standalone September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 23. crore, up 6.17 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Other Information on Investing in Kohinoor Stock
Kohinoor Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kohinoor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kohinoor with respect to the benefits of owning Kohinoor Foods security.