Komercni Banka (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 810.45
| KOMB Stock | CZK 815.00 7.50 0.93% |
Komercni |
Komercni Banka Target Price Odds to finish below 810.45
The tendency of Komercni Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 810.45 or more in 90 days |
| 815.00 | 90 days | 810.45 | about 76.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Komercni Banka to drop to 810.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 76.71 (This Komercni Banka AS probability density function shows the probability of Komercni Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Komercni Banka AS price to stay between 810.45 and its current price of 815.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Komercni Banka has a beta of 0.0495. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Komercni Banka average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Komercni Banka AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Komercni Banka AS has an alpha of 0.0803, implying that it can generate a 0.0803 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Komercni Banka Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Komercni Banka
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Komercni Banka AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Komercni Banka Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Komercni Banka is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Komercni Banka's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Komercni Banka AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Komercni Banka within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Komercni Banka Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Komercni Banka for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Komercni Banka AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Komercni Banka AS has accumulated about 58.97 B in cash with (113.65 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 312.27. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Komercni Banka Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Komercni Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Komercni Banka's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Komercni Banka's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0749 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 55.5 | |
| Shares Float | 74.8 M |
Komercni Banka Technical Analysis
Komercni Banka's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Komercni Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Komercni Banka AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Komercni Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Komercni Banka Predictive Forecast Models
Komercni Banka's time-series forecasting models is one of many Komercni Banka's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Komercni Banka's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Komercni Banka AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Komercni Banka for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Komercni Banka AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Komercni Banka AS has accumulated about 58.97 B in cash with (113.65 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 312.27. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Komercni Stock Analysis
When running Komercni Banka's price analysis, check to measure Komercni Banka's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Komercni Banka is operating at the current time. Most of Komercni Banka's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Komercni Banka's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Komercni Banka's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Komercni Banka to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.