Perdana Bangun (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 897.14
| KONI Stock | IDR 1,840 200.00 9.80% |
Perdana |
Perdana Bangun Target Price Odds to finish below 897.14
The tendency of Perdana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 897.14 or more in 90 days |
| 1,840 | 90 days | 897.14 | about 25.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perdana Bangun to drop to 897.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.19 (This Perdana Bangun Pusaka probability density function shows the probability of Perdana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perdana Bangun Pusaka price to stay between 897.14 and its current price of 1840.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Perdana Bangun will likely underperform. Moreover Perdana Bangun Pusaka has an alpha of 1.3717, implying that it can generate a 1.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Perdana Bangun Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Perdana Bangun
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perdana Bangun Pusaka. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perdana Bangun Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perdana Bangun is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perdana Bangun's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perdana Bangun Pusaka, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perdana Bangun within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 424.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Perdana Bangun Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perdana Bangun for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perdana Bangun Pusaka can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Perdana Bangun is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Perdana Bangun appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Perdana Bangun has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Perdana Bangun until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Perdana Bangun's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Perdana Bangun Pusaka sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Perdana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Perdana Bangun's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Perdana Bangun Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Perdana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Perdana Bangun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perdana Bangun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 312 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.7 B |
Perdana Bangun Technical Analysis
Perdana Bangun's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perdana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perdana Bangun Pusaka. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perdana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Perdana Bangun Predictive Forecast Models
Perdana Bangun's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perdana Bangun's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perdana Bangun's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Perdana Bangun Pusaka
Checking the ongoing alerts about Perdana Bangun for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perdana Bangun Pusaka help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Perdana Bangun is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Perdana Bangun appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Perdana Bangun has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Perdana Bangun until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Perdana Bangun's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Perdana Bangun Pusaka sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Perdana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Perdana Bangun's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Perdana Stock
Perdana Bangun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Perdana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Perdana with respect to the benefits of owning Perdana Bangun security.