Konami Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 37.71
| KONMY Stock | USD 47.18 0.56 1.17% |
Konami |
Konami Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 37.71
The tendency of Konami Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.71 or more in 90 days |
| 47.18 | 90 days | 37.71 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Konami Holdings to drop to $ 37.71 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Konami Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Konami Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Konami Holdings price to stay between $ 37.71 and its current price of $47.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Konami Holdings has a beta of 0.23. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Konami Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Konami Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Konami Holdings has an alpha of 0.0947, implying that it can generate a 0.0947 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Konami Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Konami Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Konami Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Konami Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Konami Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Konami Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Konami Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Konami Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0019 |
Konami Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Konami Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Konami Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Konami Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133.6 M |
Konami Holdings Technical Analysis
Konami Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Konami Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Konami Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Konami Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Konami Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Konami Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Konami Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Konami Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Konami Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Konami Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Konami Holdings options trading.
Additional Tools for Konami Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Konami Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Konami Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Konami Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Konami Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Konami Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Konami Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Konami Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.