Komercní Banka (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.77

KONN Stock  EUR 31.84  0.06  0.19%   
Komercní Banka's future price is the expected price of Komercní Banka instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Komercn banka as performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Komercní Banka Backtesting, Komercní Banka Valuation, Komercní Banka Correlation, Komercní Banka Hype Analysis, Komercní Banka Volatility, Komercní Banka History as well as Komercní Banka Performance.
  
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Komercní Banka Target Price Odds to finish below 31.77

The tendency of Komercní Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 31.77  or more in 90 days
 31.84 90 days 31.77 
about 73.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Komercní Banka to drop to € 31.77  or more in 90 days from now is about 73.46 (This Komercn banka as probability density function shows the probability of Komercní Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Komercn banka as price to stay between € 31.77  and its current price of €31.84 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Komercn banka as has a beta of -0.0292. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Komercní Banka are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Komercn banka as is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Komercn banka as has an alpha of 0.0786, implying that it can generate a 0.0786 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Komercní Banka Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Komercní Banka

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Komercn banka as. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.9031.9032.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.7731.7732.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.3831.3832.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.8231.8831.94
Details

Komercní Banka Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Komercní Banka is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Komercní Banka's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Komercn banka as, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Komercní Banka within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Komercní Banka Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Komercní Banka for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Komercn banka as can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Komercn banka as has accumulated about 4.15 B in cash with (50.95 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 21.98.
Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Komercní Banka Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Komercní Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Komercní Banka's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Komercní Banka's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding188.9 M
Dividends Paid4.5 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate2.29

Komercní Banka Technical Analysis

Komercní Banka's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Komercní Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Komercn banka as. In general, you should focus on analyzing Komercní Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Komercní Banka Predictive Forecast Models

Komercní Banka's time-series forecasting models is one of many Komercní Banka's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Komercní Banka's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Komercn banka as

Checking the ongoing alerts about Komercní Banka for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Komercn banka as help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Komercn banka as has accumulated about 4.15 B in cash with (50.95 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 21.98.
Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Komercní Stock

Komercní Banka financial ratios help investors to determine whether Komercní Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Komercní with respect to the benefits of owning Komercní Banka security.