Kosy JSC (Vietnam) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36037.5
| KOS Stock | 38,700 50.00 0.13% |
Kosy |
Kosy JSC Target Price Odds to finish below 36037.5
The tendency of Kosy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 36,038 or more in 90 days |
| 38,700 | 90 days | 36,038 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kosy JSC to drop to 36,038 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kosy JSC probability density function shows the probability of Kosy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kosy JSC price to stay between 36,038 and its current price of 38700.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kosy JSC has a beta of 0.0286. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kosy JSC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kosy JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kosy JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kosy JSC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kosy JSC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kosy JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kosy JSC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kosy JSC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kosy JSC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kosy JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kosy JSC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 760.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Kosy JSC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kosy JSC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kosy JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kosy JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Kosy JSC Technical Analysis
Kosy JSC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kosy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kosy JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kosy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kosy JSC Predictive Forecast Models
Kosy JSC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kosy JSC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kosy JSC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kosy JSC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kosy JSC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kosy JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kosy JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Kosy Stock
Kosy JSC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kosy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kosy with respect to the benefits of owning Kosy JSC security.