Koss Corporation Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.44
| KOSS Stock | USD 7.29 0.07 0.97% |
Koss |
Koss Target Price Odds to finish over 14.44
The tendency of Koss Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 14.44 or more in 90 days |
| 7.29 | 90 days | 14.44 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koss to move over $ 14.44 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Koss Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Koss Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Koss price to stay between its current price of $ 7.29 and $ 14.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.26 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Koss will likely underperform. Additionally Koss Corporation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Koss Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Koss
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koss. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Koss' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Koss Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koss is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koss' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koss Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koss within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Koss Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koss for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koss can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Koss generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Koss has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (950.91 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.46 M. | |
| Koss Corporation currently holds about 20.87 M in cash with (190.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Michael Koss of 5400 shares of Koss at 1.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Koss Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Koss Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Koss' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koss' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.9 M |
Koss Technical Analysis
Koss' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koss Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koss Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koss Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Koss Predictive Forecast Models
Koss' time-series forecasting models is one of many Koss' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Koss' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Koss
Checking the ongoing alerts about Koss for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koss help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Koss generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Koss has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (950.91 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.46 M. | |
| Koss Corporation currently holds about 20.87 M in cash with (190.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Michael Koss of 5400 shares of Koss at 1.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Koss Stock Analysis
When running Koss' price analysis, check to measure Koss' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koss is operating at the current time. Most of Koss' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koss' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koss' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koss to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.