DMS Propertindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.23
| KOTA Stock | 9.00 1.00 10.00% |
DMS |
DMS Propertindo Target Price Odds to finish below 2.23
The tendency of DMS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.23 or more in 90 days |
| 9.00 | 90 days | 2.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DMS Propertindo to drop to 2.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This DMS Propertindo Tbk probability density function shows the probability of DMS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DMS Propertindo Tbk price to stay between 2.23 and its current price of 9.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DMS Propertindo has a beta of 0.29. This indicates as returns on the market go up, DMS Propertindo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DMS Propertindo Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DMS Propertindo Tbk has an alpha of 0.0237, implying that it can generate a 0.0237 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). DMS Propertindo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DMS Propertindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DMS Propertindo Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DMS Propertindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DMS Propertindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DMS Propertindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DMS Propertindo Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DMS Propertindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0086 |
DMS Propertindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DMS Propertindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DMS Propertindo Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DMS Propertindo Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DMS Propertindo Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.2 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.79 B. | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
DMS Propertindo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DMS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DMS Propertindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DMS Propertindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 B |
DMS Propertindo Technical Analysis
DMS Propertindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DMS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DMS Propertindo Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing DMS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DMS Propertindo Predictive Forecast Models
DMS Propertindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many DMS Propertindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DMS Propertindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DMS Propertindo Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about DMS Propertindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DMS Propertindo Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DMS Propertindo Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DMS Propertindo Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.2 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.79 B. | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in DMS Stock
DMS Propertindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether DMS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DMS with respect to the benefits of owning DMS Propertindo security.