Koza Altin (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.44
| KOZAL Stock | TRY 22.72 1.18 5.48% |
Koza |
Koza Altin Target Price Odds to finish below 21.44
The tendency of Koza Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 21.44 or more in 90 days |
| 22.72 | 90 days | 21.44 | about 47.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koza Altin to drop to 21.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 47.35 (This Koza Altin Isletmeleri probability density function shows the probability of Koza Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Koza Altin Isletmeleri price to stay between 21.44 and its current price of 22.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Koza Altin has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Koza Altin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Koza Altin Isletmeleri will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Koza Altin Isletmeleri has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Koza Altin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Koza Altin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koza Altin Isletmeleri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Koza Altin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koza Altin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koza Altin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koza Altin Isletmeleri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koza Altin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Koza Altin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koza Altin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koza Altin Isletmeleri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Koza Altin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Koza Altin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Koza Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Koza Altin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koza Altin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.5 M |
Koza Altin Technical Analysis
Koza Altin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koza Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koza Altin Isletmeleri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koza Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Koza Altin Predictive Forecast Models
Koza Altin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Koza Altin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Koza Altin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Koza Altin Isletmeleri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Koza Altin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koza Altin Isletmeleri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Koza Altin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Koza Stock
Koza Altin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Koza Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Koza with respect to the benefits of owning Koza Altin security.