Kino Polska (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.13
| KPL Stock | 18.70 1.05 5.95% |
Kino |
Kino Polska Target Price Odds to finish below 18.13
The tendency of Kino Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 18.13 or more in 90 days |
| 18.70 | 90 days | 18.13 | about 88.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kino Polska to drop to 18.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 88.08 (This Kino Polska TV probability density function shows the probability of Kino Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kino Polska TV price to stay between 18.13 and its current price of 18.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kino Polska has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kino Polska average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kino Polska TV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kino Polska TV has an alpha of 0.0923, implying that it can generate a 0.0923 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kino Polska Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kino Polska
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kino Polska TV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kino Polska's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kino Polska Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kino Polska is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kino Polska's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kino Polska TV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kino Polska within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0036 |
Kino Polska Technical Analysis
Kino Polska's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kino Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kino Polska TV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kino Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kino Polska Predictive Forecast Models
Kino Polska's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kino Polska's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kino Polska's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Kino Polska in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Kino Polska's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Kino Polska options trading.
Additional Tools for Kino Stock Analysis
When running Kino Polska's price analysis, check to measure Kino Polska's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kino Polska is operating at the current time. Most of Kino Polska's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kino Polska's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kino Polska's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kino Polska to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.