Kinepolis Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.85
| KPSN Stock | EUR 38.00 0.75 2.01% |
Kinepolis |
Kinepolis Group Target Price Odds to finish below 39.85
The tendency of Kinepolis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 39.85 after 90 days |
| 38.00 | 90 days | 39.85 | about 90.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinepolis Group to stay under € 39.85 after 90 days from now is about 90.47 (This Kinepolis Group NV probability density function shows the probability of Kinepolis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinepolis Group NV price to stay between its current price of € 38.00 and € 39.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kinepolis Group has a beta of 0.21. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kinepolis Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kinepolis Group NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kinepolis Group NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kinepolis Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kinepolis Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinepolis Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kinepolis Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinepolis Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinepolis Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinepolis Group NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinepolis Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Kinepolis Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinepolis Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinepolis Group NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kinepolis Group NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kinepolis Group NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Kinepolis Group NV has accumulated 478.49 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.43, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kinepolis Group NV has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kinepolis Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kinepolis Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kinepolis Group NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kinepolis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kinepolis Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 266.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.37 M. | |
| About 48.0% of Kinepolis Group outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kinepolis Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinepolis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinepolis Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinepolis Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 71.6 M |
Kinepolis Group Technical Analysis
Kinepolis Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinepolis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinepolis Group NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinepolis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kinepolis Group Predictive Forecast Models
Kinepolis Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinepolis Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinepolis Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kinepolis Group NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinepolis Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinepolis Group NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kinepolis Group NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kinepolis Group NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Kinepolis Group NV has accumulated 478.49 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.43, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kinepolis Group NV has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kinepolis Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kinepolis Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kinepolis Group NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kinepolis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kinepolis Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 266.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.37 M. | |
| About 48.0% of Kinepolis Group outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kinepolis Stock
Kinepolis Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinepolis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinepolis with respect to the benefits of owning Kinepolis Group security.