Kraft Bank (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.94

KRAB Stock  NOK 8.90  0.30  3.49%   
Kraft Bank's future price is the expected price of Kraft Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kraft Bank Asa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kraft Bank Backtesting, Kraft Bank Valuation, Kraft Bank Correlation, Kraft Bank Hype Analysis, Kraft Bank Volatility, Kraft Bank History as well as Kraft Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Kraft Bank's target price for which you would like Kraft Bank odds to be computed.

Kraft Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 6.94

The tendency of Kraft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  6.94  or more in 90 days
 8.90 90 days 6.94 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kraft Bank to drop to  6.94  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kraft Bank Asa probability density function shows the probability of Kraft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kraft Bank Asa price to stay between  6.94  and its current price of 8.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kraft Bank has a beta of 0.0486. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kraft Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kraft Bank Asa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kraft Bank Asa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kraft Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kraft Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kraft Bank Asa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.948.9010.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.527.489.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.918.8610.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.528.809.08
Details

Kraft Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kraft Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kraft Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kraft Bank Asa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kraft Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0055
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Kraft Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kraft Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kraft Bank Asa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kraft Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kraft Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kraft Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kraft Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42 M

Kraft Bank Technical Analysis

Kraft Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kraft Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kraft Bank Asa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kraft Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kraft Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Kraft Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kraft Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kraft Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kraft Bank Asa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kraft Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kraft Bank Asa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kraft Stock

Kraft Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kraft Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kraft with respect to the benefits of owning Kraft Bank security.