Kilroy Realty Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 40.12

KRC Stock  USD 40.44  0.67  1.63%   
Kilroy Realty's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Kilroy Realty Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Kilroy Realty based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Kilroy Realty Corp over a specific time period. For example, KRC Option Call 20-12-2024 40 is a CALL option contract on Kilroy Realty's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-22 at 11:32:31 for $1.75 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All Kilroy options

Closest to current price Kilroy long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Kilroy Realty's future price is the expected price of Kilroy Realty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kilroy Realty Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kilroy Realty Backtesting, Kilroy Realty Valuation, Kilroy Realty Correlation, Kilroy Realty Hype Analysis, Kilroy Realty Volatility, Kilroy Realty History as well as Kilroy Realty Performance.
  
At present, Kilroy Realty's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 1.27, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is forecasted to decline to 7.36. Please specify Kilroy Realty's target price for which you would like Kilroy Realty odds to be computed.

Kilroy Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 40.12

The tendency of Kilroy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 40.12  or more in 90 days
 40.44 90 days 40.12 
about 66.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kilroy Realty to drop to $ 40.12  or more in 90 days from now is about 66.24 (This Kilroy Realty Corp probability density function shows the probability of Kilroy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kilroy Realty Corp price to stay between $ 40.12  and its current price of $40.44 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.75 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kilroy Realty will likely underperform. Additionally Kilroy Realty Corp has an alpha of 0.0656, implying that it can generate a 0.0656 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kilroy Realty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kilroy Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kilroy Realty Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.9240.6742.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.9439.6941.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.8543.5945.34
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.1739.7544.12
Details

Kilroy Realty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kilroy Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kilroy Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kilroy Realty Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kilroy Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Kilroy Realty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kilroy Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kilroy Realty Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kilroy Realty Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Kilroy Realty Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of October 2024 Kilroy Realty paid $ 0.54 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: KRC Owner Earnings per Share -3.46 - GuruFocus.com

Kilroy Realty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kilroy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kilroy Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kilroy Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments794.8 M

Kilroy Realty Technical Analysis

Kilroy Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kilroy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kilroy Realty Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kilroy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kilroy Realty Predictive Forecast Models

Kilroy Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kilroy Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kilroy Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kilroy Realty Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kilroy Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kilroy Realty Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kilroy Realty Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Kilroy Realty Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of October 2024 Kilroy Realty paid $ 0.54 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: KRC Owner Earnings per Share -3.46 - GuruFocus.com
When determining whether Kilroy Realty Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kilroy Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kilroy Realty Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kilroy Realty Corp Stock:
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kilroy Realty. If investors know Kilroy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kilroy Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Dividend Share
2.16
Earnings Share
1.67
Revenue Per Share
9.521
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.022
The market value of Kilroy Realty Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kilroy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kilroy Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kilroy Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kilroy Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kilroy Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kilroy Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kilroy Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kilroy Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.