36kr Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.05
| KRKR Stock | USD 3.08 0.16 4.94% |
36Kr |
36Kr Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3.05
The tendency of 36Kr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.05 or more in 90 days |
| 3.08 | 90 days | 3.05 | about 5.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 36Kr Holdings to drop to $ 3.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.64 (This 36Kr Holdings probability density function shows the probability of 36Kr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 36Kr Holdings price to stay between $ 3.05 and its current price of $3.08 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days 36Kr Holdings has a beta of 0.34. This indicates as returns on the market go up, 36Kr Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 36Kr Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 36Kr Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 36Kr Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 36Kr Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 36Kr Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.36Kr Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 36Kr Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 36Kr Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 36Kr Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 36Kr Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
36Kr Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 36Kr Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 36Kr Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 36Kr Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 36Kr Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 36Kr Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 340.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (89.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 184.65 M. | |
| 36Kr Holdings currently holds about 194.31 M in cash with (122.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.72, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| 36Kr Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: 36 Stock Surges Amidst Volatile Market Activity |
36Kr Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 36Kr Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 36Kr Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 36Kr Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 117 M | |
| Shares Float | 676.8 M |
36Kr Holdings Technical Analysis
36Kr Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 36Kr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 36Kr Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing 36Kr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
36Kr Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
36Kr Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many 36Kr Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 36Kr Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 36Kr Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about 36Kr Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 36Kr Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 36Kr Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 36Kr Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 36Kr Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 340.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (89.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 184.65 M. | |
| 36Kr Holdings currently holds about 194.31 M in cash with (122.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.72, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| 36Kr Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: 36 Stock Surges Amidst Volatile Market Activity |
Additional Tools for 36Kr Stock Analysis
When running 36Kr Holdings' price analysis, check to measure 36Kr Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 36Kr Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of 36Kr Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 36Kr Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 36Kr Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 36Kr Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.