Kerry Logistics Network Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 1.02

KRRYF Stock  USD 1.00  0.82  45.05%   
Kerry Logistics' future price is the expected price of Kerry Logistics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kerry Logistics Network performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kerry Logistics Backtesting, Kerry Logistics Valuation, Kerry Logistics Correlation, Kerry Logistics Hype Analysis, Kerry Logistics Volatility, Kerry Logistics History as well as Kerry Logistics Performance.
  
Please specify Kerry Logistics' target price for which you would like Kerry Logistics odds to be computed.

Kerry Logistics Target Price Odds to finish below 1.02

The tendency of Kerry OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 1.02  after 90 days
 1.00 90 days 1.02 
about 56.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kerry Logistics to stay under $ 1.02  after 90 days from now is about 56.9 (This Kerry Logistics Network probability density function shows the probability of Kerry OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kerry Logistics Network price to stay between its current price of $ 1.00  and $ 1.02  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 2.27 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kerry Logistics will likely underperform. Additionally Kerry Logistics Network has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kerry Logistics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kerry Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kerry Logistics Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kerry Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.003.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.943.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.003.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.001.001.00
Details

Kerry Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kerry Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kerry Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kerry Logistics Network, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kerry Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.84
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Kerry Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kerry Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kerry Logistics Network can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kerry Logistics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kerry Logistics Technical Analysis

Kerry Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kerry OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kerry Logistics Network. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kerry OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kerry Logistics Predictive Forecast Models

Kerry Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kerry Logistics' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kerry Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kerry Logistics Network

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kerry Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kerry Logistics Network help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kerry Logistics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kerry OTC Stock

Kerry Logistics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kerry OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kerry with respect to the benefits of owning Kerry Logistics security.