Kansai Paint Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 17.13

KSANF Stock  USD 17.55  0.00  0.00%   
Kansai Paint's future price is the expected price of Kansai Paint instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kansai Paint Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kansai Paint Backtesting, Kansai Paint Valuation, Kansai Paint Correlation, Kansai Paint Hype Analysis, Kansai Paint Volatility, Kansai Paint History as well as Kansai Paint Performance.
  
Please specify Kansai Paint's target price for which you would like Kansai Paint odds to be computed.

Kansai Paint Target Price Odds to finish over 17.13

The tendency of Kansai Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 17.13  in 90 days
 17.55 90 days 17.13 
about 57.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kansai Paint to stay above $ 17.13  in 90 days from now is about 57.04 (This Kansai Paint Co probability density function shows the probability of Kansai Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kansai Paint price to stay between $ 17.13  and its current price of $17.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kansai Paint Co has a beta of -0.0938. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kansai Paint are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kansai Paint Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kansai Paint Co has an alpha of 0.1535, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kansai Paint Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kansai Paint

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kansai Paint. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3317.5518.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2216.4417.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.0717.2918.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.5517.5517.55
Details

Kansai Paint Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kansai Paint is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kansai Paint's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kansai Paint Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kansai Paint within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Kansai Paint Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kansai Paint for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kansai Paint can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kansai Paint Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kansai Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kansai Paint's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kansai Paint's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding256.9 M

Kansai Paint Technical Analysis

Kansai Paint's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kansai Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kansai Paint Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kansai Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kansai Paint Predictive Forecast Models

Kansai Paint's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kansai Paint's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kansai Paint's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kansai Paint

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kansai Paint for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kansai Paint help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kansai Pink Sheet

Kansai Paint financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kansai Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kansai with respect to the benefits of owning Kansai Paint security.