Ks Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 51.27

KSBI Stock  USD 52.05  0.45  0.86%   
KS Bancorp's future price is the expected price of KS Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KS Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KS Bancorp Backtesting, KS Bancorp Valuation, KS Bancorp Correlation, KS Bancorp Hype Analysis, KS Bancorp Volatility, KS Bancorp History as well as KS Bancorp Performance.
  
Please specify KS Bancorp's target price for which you would like KS Bancorp odds to be computed.

KS Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 51.27

The tendency of KSBI Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 51.27  or more in 90 days
 52.05 90 days 51.27 
about 9.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KS Bancorp to drop to $ 51.27  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.59 (This KS Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of KSBI Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KS Bancorp price to stay between $ 51.27  and its current price of $52.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.26 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KS Bancorp has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KS Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KS Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KS Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KS Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KS Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KS Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.3352.0552.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.9351.6552.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.2751.9952.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.0552.0552.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KS Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KS Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KS Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KS Bancorp.

KS Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KS Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KS Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KS Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KS Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

KS Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KS Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KS Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KS Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: C O R R E C T I O N -- First Horizon Corporation

KS Bancorp Technical Analysis

KS Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KSBI Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KS Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing KSBI Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KS Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

KS Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many KS Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KS Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KS Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about KS Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KS Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KS Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: C O R R E C T I O N -- First Horizon Corporation

Other Information on Investing in KSBI Pink Sheet

KS Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether KSBI Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KSBI with respect to the benefits of owning KS Bancorp security.