Knightscope Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.51
| KSCP Stock | USD 15.44 2.85 15.58% |
Knightscope |
Knightscope Target Price Odds to finish over 23.51
The tendency of Knightscope Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 23.51 or more in 90 days |
| 15.44 | 90 days | 23.51 | roughly 2.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Knightscope to move over $ 23.51 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.33 (This Knightscope probability density function shows the probability of Knightscope Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Knightscope price to stay between its current price of $ 15.44 and $ 23.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.2 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Knightscope will likely underperform. Additionally Knightscope has an alpha of 0.9118, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Knightscope Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Knightscope
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knightscope. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Knightscope's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Knightscope Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Knightscope is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Knightscope's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Knightscope, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Knightscope within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Knightscope Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Knightscope for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Knightscope can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Knightscope is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Knightscope appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Knightscope has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.06 M). | |
| Knightscope currently holds about 11.07 M in cash with (24.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Knightscope has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Knightscope announces proposed public offering |
Knightscope Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Knightscope Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Knightscope's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Knightscope's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Knightscope Technical Analysis
Knightscope's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Knightscope Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Knightscope. In general, you should focus on analyzing Knightscope Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Knightscope Predictive Forecast Models
Knightscope's time-series forecasting models is one of many Knightscope's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Knightscope's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Knightscope
Checking the ongoing alerts about Knightscope for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Knightscope help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Knightscope is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Knightscope appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Knightscope has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.06 M). | |
| Knightscope currently holds about 11.07 M in cash with (24.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Knightscope has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Knightscope announces proposed public offering |
Additional Tools for Knightscope Stock Analysis
When running Knightscope's price analysis, check to measure Knightscope's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Knightscope is operating at the current time. Most of Knightscope's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Knightscope's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Knightscope's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Knightscope to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.