Khon Kaen (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02

KSL Stock  THB 1.95  0.02  1.02%   
Khon Kaen's future price is the expected price of Khon Kaen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Khon Kaen Sugar performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Khon Kaen Backtesting, Khon Kaen Valuation, Khon Kaen Correlation, Khon Kaen Hype Analysis, Khon Kaen Volatility, Khon Kaen History as well as Khon Kaen Performance.
  
Please specify Khon Kaen's target price for which you would like Khon Kaen odds to be computed.

Khon Kaen Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02

The tendency of Khon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.02  or more in 90 days
 1.95 90 days 0.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Khon Kaen to drop to  0.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Khon Kaen Sugar probability density function shows the probability of Khon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Khon Kaen Sugar price to stay between  0.02  and its current price of 1.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Khon Kaen Sugar has a beta of -0.23. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Khon Kaen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Khon Kaen Sugar is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Khon Kaen Sugar has an alpha of 0.0732, implying that it can generate a 0.0732 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Khon Kaen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Khon Kaen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Khon Kaen Sugar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.95196.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.31196.31
Details

Khon Kaen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Khon Kaen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Khon Kaen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Khon Kaen Sugar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Khon Kaen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Khon Kaen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Khon Kaen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Khon Kaen Sugar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Khon Kaen Sugar is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Khon Kaen Sugar may become a speculative penny stock
Khon Kaen Sugar appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Khon Kaen Sugar has accumulated 9.41 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Khon Kaen Sugar has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Khon Kaen until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Khon Kaen's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Khon Kaen Sugar sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Khon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Khon Kaen's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 50.0% of Khon Kaen outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Khon Kaen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Khon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Khon Kaen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Khon Kaen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.4 B

Khon Kaen Technical Analysis

Khon Kaen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Khon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Khon Kaen Sugar. In general, you should focus on analyzing Khon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Khon Kaen Predictive Forecast Models

Khon Kaen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Khon Kaen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Khon Kaen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Khon Kaen Sugar

Checking the ongoing alerts about Khon Kaen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Khon Kaen Sugar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Khon Kaen Sugar is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Khon Kaen Sugar may become a speculative penny stock
Khon Kaen Sugar appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Khon Kaen Sugar has accumulated 9.41 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Khon Kaen Sugar has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Khon Kaen until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Khon Kaen's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Khon Kaen Sugar sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Khon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Khon Kaen's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 50.0% of Khon Kaen outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Khon Stock

Khon Kaen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Khon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Khon with respect to the benefits of owning Khon Kaen security.