Kaspien Holdings Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.61
| KSPNDelisted Stock | USD 0.25 0.01 4.17% |
Kaspien |
Kaspien Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.61
The tendency of Kaspien Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.61 or more in 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 0.61 | about 37.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kaspien Holdings to move over $ 0.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.61 (This Kaspien Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Kaspien Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kaspien Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.25 and $ 0.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kaspien Holdings has a beta of -3.81. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Kaspien Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Kaspien Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Kaspien Holdings has an alpha of 0.0706, implying that it can generate a 0.0706 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kaspien Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kaspien Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaspien Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kaspien Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kaspien Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kaspien Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kaspien Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kaspien Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Kaspien Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kaspien Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kaspien Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kaspien Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Kaspien Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kaspien Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 128.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.39 M. | |
| Kaspien Holdings currently holds about 1.31 M in cash with (11.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kaspien Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kaspien Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kaspien Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaspien Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Kaspien Holdings Technical Analysis
Kaspien Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kaspien Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kaspien Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kaspien Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kaspien Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Kaspien Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kaspien Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kaspien Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kaspien Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kaspien Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kaspien Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kaspien Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Kaspien Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kaspien Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 128.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.39 M. | |
| Kaspien Holdings currently holds about 1.31 M in cash with (11.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Other Consideration for investing in Kaspien Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Kaspien Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Kaspien Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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