Kraneshares Sse Star Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 13.67
| KSTR Etf | USD 13.39 0.14 1.03% |
Closest to current price KraneShares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
KraneShares |
KraneShares SSE Target Price Odds to finish below 13.67
The tendency of KraneShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 13.67 after 90 days |
| 13.39 | 90 days | 13.67 | about 72.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KraneShares SSE to stay under $ 13.67 after 90 days from now is about 72.9 (This KraneShares SSE STAR probability density function shows the probability of KraneShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KraneShares SSE STAR price to stay between its current price of $ 13.39 and $ 13.67 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KraneShares SSE STAR has a beta of -0.79. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KraneShares SSE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KraneShares SSE STAR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KraneShares SSE STAR has an alpha of 0.7497, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KraneShares SSE Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KraneShares SSE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares SSE STAR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KraneShares SSE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KraneShares SSE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KraneShares SSE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KraneShares SSE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KraneShares SSE STAR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KraneShares SSE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
KraneShares SSE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KraneShares SSE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KraneShares SSE STAR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KraneShares SSE STAR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| KraneShares SSE STAR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The fund created three year return of -18.0% | |
| KraneShares SSE STAR maintains 99.23% of its assets in stocks |
KraneShares SSE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KraneShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KraneShares SSE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KraneShares SSE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
KraneShares SSE Technical Analysis
KraneShares SSE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KraneShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KraneShares SSE STAR. In general, you should focus on analyzing KraneShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KraneShares SSE Predictive Forecast Models
KraneShares SSE's time-series forecasting models is one of many KraneShares SSE's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KraneShares SSE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KraneShares SSE STAR
Checking the ongoing alerts about KraneShares SSE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KraneShares SSE STAR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KraneShares SSE STAR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| KraneShares SSE STAR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The fund created three year return of -18.0% | |
| KraneShares SSE STAR maintains 99.23% of its assets in stocks |
Check out KraneShares SSE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KraneShares SSE Correlation, KraneShares SSE Hype Analysis, KraneShares SSE Volatility, KraneShares SSE History as well as KraneShares SSE Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
The market value of KraneShares SSE STAR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares SSE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares SSE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares SSE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares SSE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares SSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares SSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares SSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.