GIYANI GOLD (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.065

KT9 Stock  EUR 0.07  0.00  0.00%   
GIYANI GOLD's future price is the expected price of GIYANI GOLD instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GIYANI GOLD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GIYANI GOLD Backtesting, GIYANI GOLD Valuation, GIYANI GOLD Correlation, GIYANI GOLD Hype Analysis, GIYANI GOLD Volatility, GIYANI GOLD History as well as GIYANI GOLD Performance.
  
Please specify GIYANI GOLD's target price for which you would like GIYANI GOLD odds to be computed.

GIYANI GOLD Target Price Odds to finish over 0.065

The tendency of GIYANI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 60.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GIYANI GOLD to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.72 (This GIYANI GOLD probability density function shows the probability of GIYANI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GIYANI GOLD has a beta of -0.0655. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GIYANI GOLD are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GIYANI GOLD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GIYANI GOLD has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GIYANI GOLD Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GIYANI GOLD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GIYANI GOLD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.060.070.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.060.060.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.070.070.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.060.06
Details

GIYANI GOLD Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GIYANI GOLD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GIYANI GOLD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GIYANI GOLD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GIYANI GOLD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.0007
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

GIYANI GOLD Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GIYANI GOLD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GIYANI GOLD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GIYANI GOLD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GIYANI GOLD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GIYANI GOLD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (5.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GIYANI GOLD generates negative cash flow from operations

GIYANI GOLD Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GIYANI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GIYANI GOLD's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GIYANI GOLD's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding203.2 M

GIYANI GOLD Technical Analysis

GIYANI GOLD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GIYANI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GIYANI GOLD. In general, you should focus on analyzing GIYANI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GIYANI GOLD Predictive Forecast Models

GIYANI GOLD's time-series forecasting models is one of many GIYANI GOLD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GIYANI GOLD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GIYANI GOLD

Checking the ongoing alerts about GIYANI GOLD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GIYANI GOLD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GIYANI GOLD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GIYANI GOLD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GIYANI GOLD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (5.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GIYANI GOLD generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for GIYANI Stock Analysis

When running GIYANI GOLD's price analysis, check to measure GIYANI GOLD's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GIYANI GOLD is operating at the current time. Most of GIYANI GOLD's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GIYANI GOLD's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GIYANI GOLD's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GIYANI GOLD to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.