Karnataka Bank (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 207.12
| KTKBANK Stock | 219.16 0.66 0.30% |
Karnataka |
Karnataka Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 207.12
The tendency of Karnataka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 207.12 or more in 90 days |
| 219.16 | 90 days | 207.12 | about 13.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Karnataka Bank to drop to 207.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.26 (This The Karnataka Bank probability density function shows the probability of Karnataka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Karnataka Bank price to stay between 207.12 and its current price of 219.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Karnataka Bank has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Karnataka Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Karnataka Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Karnataka Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Karnataka Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Karnataka Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Karnataka Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Karnataka Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Karnataka Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Karnataka Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Karnataka Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Karnataka Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Karnataka Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Karnataka Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Karnataka Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Karnataka Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Karnataka Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Karnataka Bank generates negative cash flow from operations |
Karnataka Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Karnataka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Karnataka Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Karnataka Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 329.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 163.4 B |
Karnataka Bank Technical Analysis
Karnataka Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Karnataka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Karnataka Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Karnataka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Karnataka Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Karnataka Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Karnataka Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Karnataka Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Karnataka Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Karnataka Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Karnataka Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Karnataka Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Karnataka Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Karnataka Bank generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Karnataka Stock
Karnataka Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Karnataka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Karnataka with respect to the benefits of owning Karnataka Bank security.