Kubota Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 12.32

KUBTF Stock  USD 12.26  0.11  0.89%   
Kubota's future price is the expected price of Kubota instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kubota performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kubota Backtesting, Kubota Valuation, Kubota Correlation, Kubota Hype Analysis, Kubota Volatility, Kubota History as well as Kubota Performance.
  
Please specify Kubota's target price for which you would like Kubota odds to be computed.

Kubota Target Price Odds to finish below 12.32

The tendency of Kubota Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 12.32  after 90 days
 12.26 90 days 12.32 
roughly 2.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kubota to stay under $ 12.32  after 90 days from now is roughly 2.53 (This Kubota probability density function shows the probability of Kubota Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kubota price to stay between its current price of $ 12.26  and $ 12.32  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kubota has a beta of -0.26. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kubota are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kubota is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kubota has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kubota Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kubota

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kubota. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kubota's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5312.2613.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.0710.8012.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6312.3614.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9013.2814.66
Details

Kubota Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kubota is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kubota's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kubota, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kubota within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Kubota Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kubota for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kubota can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kubota generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Kubota Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kubota Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kubota's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kubota's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Kubota Technical Analysis

Kubota's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kubota Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kubota. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kubota Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kubota Predictive Forecast Models

Kubota's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kubota's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kubota's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kubota

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kubota for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kubota help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kubota generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Kubota Pink Sheet

Kubota financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kubota Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kubota with respect to the benefits of owning Kubota security.