Kfa Value Line Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 20.37
| KVLE Etf | USD 28.11 0.11 0.39% |
Closest to current price KFA long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
KFA |
KFA Value Target Price Odds to finish below 20.37
The tendency of KFA Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.37 or more in 90 days |
| 28.11 | 90 days | 20.37 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KFA Value to drop to $ 20.37 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KFA Value Line probability density function shows the probability of KFA Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KFA Value Line price to stay between $ 20.37 and its current price of $28.11 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.21 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KFA Value has a beta of 0.73. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KFA Value average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KFA Value Line will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KFA Value Line has an alpha of 0.0413, implying that it can generate a 0.0413 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KFA Value Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KFA Value
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KFA Value Line. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KFA Value Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KFA Value is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KFA Value's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KFA Value Line, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KFA Value within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
KFA Value Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KFA Value for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KFA Value Line can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.KFA Value Technical Analysis
KFA Value's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KFA Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KFA Value Line. In general, you should focus on analyzing KFA Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KFA Value Predictive Forecast Models
KFA Value's time-series forecasting models is one of many KFA Value's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KFA Value's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KFA Value Line
Checking the ongoing alerts about KFA Value for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KFA Value Line help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether KFA Value Line is a strong investment it is important to analyze KFA Value's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact KFA Value's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding KFA Etf, refer to the following important reports: Check out KFA Value Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KFA Value Correlation, KFA Value Hype Analysis, KFA Value Volatility, KFA Value History as well as KFA Value Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
The market value of KFA Value Line is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KFA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KFA Value's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KFA Value's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KFA Value's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KFA Value's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KFA Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KFA Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KFA Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.