Krungdhep Sophon (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 258.14
| KWC Stock | THB 288.00 12.00 4.35% |
Krungdhep |
Krungdhep Sophon Target Price Odds to finish below 258.14
The tendency of Krungdhep Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 258.14 or more in 90 days |
| 288.00 | 90 days | 258.14 | about 14.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Krungdhep Sophon to drop to 258.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.37 (This Krungdhep Sophon Public probability density function shows the probability of Krungdhep Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Krungdhep Sophon Public price to stay between 258.14 and its current price of 288.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Krungdhep Sophon Public has a beta of -0.75. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Krungdhep Sophon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Krungdhep Sophon Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Krungdhep Sophon Public has an alpha of 0.2724, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Krungdhep Sophon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Krungdhep Sophon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Krungdhep Sophon Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Krungdhep Sophon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Krungdhep Sophon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Krungdhep Sophon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Krungdhep Sophon Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Krungdhep Sophon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 49.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Krungdhep Sophon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Krungdhep Sophon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Krungdhep Sophon Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Krungdhep Sophon is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Krungdhep Sophon appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Krungdhep Sophon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Krungdhep Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Krungdhep Sophon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Krungdhep Sophon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M |
Krungdhep Sophon Technical Analysis
Krungdhep Sophon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Krungdhep Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Krungdhep Sophon Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Krungdhep Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Krungdhep Sophon Predictive Forecast Models
Krungdhep Sophon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Krungdhep Sophon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Krungdhep Sophon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Krungdhep Sophon Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Krungdhep Sophon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Krungdhep Sophon Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Krungdhep Sophon is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Krungdhep Sophon appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Krungdhep Stock
Krungdhep Sophon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Krungdhep Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Krungdhep with respect to the benefits of owning Krungdhep Sophon security.