Leidos Holdings (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 92.07
| L1DO34 Stock | 99.86 4.16 4.35% |
Leidos |
Leidos Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 92.07
The tendency of Leidos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 92.07 or more in 90 days |
| 99.86 | 90 days | 92.07 | about 52.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leidos Holdings to drop to 92.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 52.43 (This Leidos Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Leidos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leidos Holdings price to stay between 92.07 and its current price of 99.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Leidos Holdings has a beta of 0.49. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Leidos Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Leidos Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Leidos Holdings has an alpha of 0.3059, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Leidos Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Leidos Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leidos Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Leidos Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Leidos Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Leidos Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Leidos Holdings.Leidos Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leidos Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leidos Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leidos Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leidos Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Leidos Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leidos Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leidos Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Leidos Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Leidos Holdings Technical Analysis
Leidos Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leidos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leidos Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leidos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leidos Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Leidos Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Leidos Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leidos Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leidos Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leidos Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leidos Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Leidos Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |