Lululemon Athletica (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 488.06
| L1UL34 Stock | 609.46 5.54 0.90% |
Lululemon |
Lululemon Athletica Target Price Odds to finish below 488.06
The tendency of Lululemon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 488.06 or more in 90 days |
| 609.46 | 90 days | 488.06 | about 83.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lululemon Athletica to drop to 488.06 or more in 90 days from now is about 83.97 (This Lululemon Athletica probability density function shows the probability of Lululemon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lululemon Athletica price to stay between 488.06 and its current price of 609.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lululemon Athletica has a beta of -0.56. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lululemon Athletica are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lululemon Athletica is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lululemon Athletica has an alpha of 0.9185, implying that it can generate a 0.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lululemon Athletica Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lululemon Athletica
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lululemon Athletica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lululemon Athletica. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lululemon Athletica's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lululemon Athletica's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lululemon Athletica.Lululemon Athletica Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lululemon Athletica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lululemon Athletica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lululemon Athletica, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lululemon Athletica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 63.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Lululemon Athletica Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lululemon Athletica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lululemon Athletica can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lululemon Athletica appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Lululemon Athletica Technical Analysis
Lululemon Athletica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lululemon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lululemon Athletica. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lululemon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lululemon Athletica Predictive Forecast Models
Lululemon Athletica's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lululemon Athletica's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lululemon Athletica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lululemon Athletica
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lululemon Athletica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lululemon Athletica help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lululemon Athletica appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |