Direxion Daily Sp Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 156.15

LABU Etf  USD 156.15  0.00  0.00%   
Direxion Daily's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Direxion Daily SP. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Direxion Daily based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Direxion Daily SP over a specific time period. For example, LABU260402C00205000 is a PUT option contract on Direxion Daily's common stock with a strick price of 205.0 expiring on 2026-04-02. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 46 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.4, and an ask price of $7.5. The implied volatility as of the 16th of February 2026 is 46.0. View All Direxion options

Closest to current price Direxion long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Direxion Daily's future price is the expected price of Direxion Daily instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Direxion Daily SP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Direxion Daily Analysis, Portfolio Optimization, Direxion Daily Correlation, Direxion Daily Hype Analysis, Direxion Daily Volatility, Direxion Daily Price History as well as Direxion Daily Performance.
Please specify Direxion Daily's target price for which you would like Direxion Daily odds to be computed.

Direxion Daily Target Price Odds to finish over 156.15

The tendency of Direxion Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 156.15 90 days 156.15 
about 62.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direxion Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.13 (This Direxion Daily SP probability density function shows the probability of Direxion Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 2.68 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform. Additionally Direxion Daily SP has an alpha of 0.3406, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Direxion Daily Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Direxion Daily

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direxion Daily SP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
149.88154.69159.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
150.56155.37160.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Direxion Daily. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Direxion Daily's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Direxion Daily's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Direxion Daily SP.

Direxion Daily Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direxion Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direxion Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direxion Daily SP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direxion Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.68
σ
Overall volatility
14.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Direxion Daily Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direxion Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direxion Daily SP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Direxion Daily SP had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Direxion Daily SP Biotech Bull 3x Shares Short Interest Update
Direxion Daily SP created-10.0 ten year return of -10.0%

Direxion Daily Technical Analysis

Direxion Daily's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Direxion Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Direxion Daily SP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Direxion Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Direxion Daily Predictive Forecast Models

Direxion Daily's time-series forecasting models is one of many Direxion Daily's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Direxion Daily's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Direxion Daily SP

Checking the ongoing alerts about Direxion Daily for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Direxion Daily SP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Direxion Daily SP had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Direxion Daily SP Biotech Bull 3x Shares Short Interest Update
Direxion Daily SP created-10.0 ten year return of -10.0%
When determining whether Direxion Daily SP is a strong investment it is important to analyze Direxion Daily's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Direxion Daily's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Direxion Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Direxion Daily Analysis, Portfolio Optimization, Direxion Daily Correlation, Direxion Daily Hype Analysis, Direxion Daily Volatility, Direxion Daily Price History as well as Direxion Daily Performance.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Direxion Daily SP's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Direxion's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Direxion Daily's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Direxion Daily's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Direxion Daily's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Direxion Daily represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Direxion Daily's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.