Lanna Resources (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.06
| LANNA Stock | THB 16.00 0.10 0.62% |
Lanna |
Lanna Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 14.06
The tendency of Lanna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 14.06 or more in 90 days |
| 16.00 | 90 days | 14.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lanna Resources to drop to 14.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lanna Resources Public probability density function shows the probability of Lanna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lanna Resources Public price to stay between 14.06 and its current price of 16.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lanna Resources Public has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lanna Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lanna Resources Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lanna Resources Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lanna Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lanna Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lanna Resources Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lanna Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lanna Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lanna Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lanna Resources Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lanna Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Lanna Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lanna Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lanna Resources Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lanna Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lanna Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lanna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lanna Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lanna Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 525 M |
Lanna Resources Technical Analysis
Lanna Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lanna Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lanna Resources Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lanna Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lanna Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Lanna Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lanna Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lanna Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lanna Resources Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lanna Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lanna Resources Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lanna Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Lanna Stock
Lanna Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lanna Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lanna with respect to the benefits of owning Lanna Resources security.