Leyand International (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.0
| LAPD Stock | IDR 16.00 2.00 14.29% |
Leyand |
Leyand International Target Price Odds to finish below 19.0
The tendency of Leyand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 19.00 after 90 days |
| 16.00 | 90 days | 19.00 | about 62.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leyand International to stay under 19.00 after 90 days from now is about 62.54 (This Leyand International Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Leyand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leyand International Tbk price to stay between its current price of 16.00 and 19.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Leyand International has a beta of 0.44. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Leyand International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Leyand International Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Leyand International Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Leyand International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Leyand International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leyand International Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Leyand International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leyand International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leyand International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leyand International Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leyand International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Leyand International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leyand International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leyand International Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Leyand International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Leyand International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Leyand International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Leyand International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Leyand International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Leyand International Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Leyand to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Leyand International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (108.87 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (26.63 B). | |
| Leyand International Tbk has accumulated about 2.04 B in cash with (8.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.51. | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Leyand International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leyand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leyand International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leyand International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50 M |
Leyand International Technical Analysis
Leyand International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leyand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leyand International Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leyand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leyand International Predictive Forecast Models
Leyand International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Leyand International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leyand International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leyand International Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leyand International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leyand International Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Leyand International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Leyand International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Leyand International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Leyand International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Leyand International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Leyand International Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Leyand to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Leyand International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (108.87 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (26.63 B). | |
| Leyand International Tbk has accumulated about 2.04 B in cash with (8.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.51. | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Leyand Stock
Leyand International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leyand Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leyand with respect to the benefits of owning Leyand International security.