Legatus Shoppings (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 109.36
| LASC11 Fund | 110.00 0.01 0.01% |
Legatus |
Legatus Shoppings Target Price Odds to finish below 109.36
The tendency of Legatus Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 109.36 or more in 90 days |
| 110.00 | 90 days | 109.36 | about 1.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Legatus Shoppings to drop to 109.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.2 (This Legatus Shoppings Fundo probability density function shows the probability of Legatus Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Legatus Shoppings Fundo price to stay between 109.36 and its current price of 110.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Legatus Shoppings has a beta of 0.0225. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Legatus Shoppings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Legatus Shoppings Fundo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Legatus Shoppings Fundo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Legatus Shoppings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Legatus Shoppings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Legatus Shoppings Fundo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Legatus Shoppings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Legatus Shoppings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Legatus Shoppings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Legatus Shoppings Fundo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Legatus Shoppings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.39 |
Legatus Shoppings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Legatus Shoppings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Legatus Shoppings Fundo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Legatus Shoppings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Legatus Shoppings Technical Analysis
Legatus Shoppings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Legatus Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Legatus Shoppings Fundo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Legatus Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Legatus Shoppings Predictive Forecast Models
Legatus Shoppings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Legatus Shoppings' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Legatus Shoppings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Legatus Shoppings Fundo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Legatus Shoppings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Legatus Shoppings Fundo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Legatus Shoppings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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