Las Condes (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18999.0

LASCONDES   10,937  177.00  1.59%   
Las Condes' future price is the expected price of Las Condes instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Las Condes performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Las Condes Backtesting, Las Condes Valuation, Las Condes Correlation, Las Condes Hype Analysis, Las Condes Volatility, Las Condes History as well as Las Condes Performance.
  
Please specify Las Condes' target price for which you would like Las Condes odds to be computed.

Las Condes Target Price Odds to finish below 18999.0

The tendency of Las Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  18,999  after 90 days
 10,937 90 days 18,999 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Las Condes to stay under  18,999  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Las Condes probability density function shows the probability of Las Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Las Condes price to stay between its current price of  10,937  and  18,999  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Las Condes has a beta of -0.0542. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Las Condes are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Las Condes is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Las Condes has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Las Condes Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Las Condes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Las Condes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,93510,93710,939
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,19310,19512,031
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10,36410,36510,367
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,73111,55212,372
Details

Las Condes Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Las Condes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Las Condes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Las Condes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Las Condes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
488.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Las Condes Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Las Condes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Las Condes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Las Condes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Las Condes Technical Analysis

Las Condes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Las Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Las Condes. In general, you should focus on analyzing Las Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Las Condes Predictive Forecast Models

Las Condes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Las Condes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Las Condes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Las Condes

Checking the ongoing alerts about Las Condes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Las Condes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Las Condes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Las Stock

Las Condes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Las Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Las with respect to the benefits of owning Las Condes security.