Laser Photonics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.43
| LASE Stock | 5.61 0.42 6.97% |
Laser |
Laser Photonics Target Price Odds to finish below 5.43
The tendency of Laser Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.43 or more in 90 days |
| 5.61 | 90 days | 5.43 | about 30.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Laser Photonics to drop to 5.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.09 (This Laser Photonics probability density function shows the probability of Laser Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Laser Photonics price to stay between 5.43 and its current price of 5.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.98 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.09 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Laser Photonics will likely underperform. In addition to that Laser Photonics has an alpha of 2.2929, implying that it can generate a 2.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Laser Photonics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Laser Photonics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laser Photonics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Laser Photonics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Laser Photonics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Laser Photonics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Laser Photonics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Laser Photonics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Laser Photonics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Laser Photonics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Laser Photonics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Laser Photonics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Laser Photonics is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Laser Photonics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (997.46 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.87 M. | |
| Laser Photonics generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Laser Photonics Commences Pre-Orders for Industry-Leading Pulsed Laser Cleaning System |
Laser Photonics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Laser Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Laser Photonics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laser Photonics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.2 M |
Laser Photonics Technical Analysis
Laser Photonics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Laser Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Laser Photonics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Laser Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Laser Photonics Predictive Forecast Models
Laser Photonics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Laser Photonics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Laser Photonics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Laser Photonics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Laser Photonics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Laser Photonics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Laser Photonics is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Laser Photonics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (997.46 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.87 M. | |
| Laser Photonics generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Laser Photonics Commences Pre-Orders for Industry-Leading Pulsed Laser Cleaning System |
Check out Laser Photonics Backtesting, Laser Photonics Valuation, Laser Photonics Correlation, Laser Photonics Hype Analysis, Laser Photonics Volatility, Laser Photonics History as well as Laser Photonics Performance. For information on how to trade Laser Stock refer to our How to Trade Laser Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Laser Photonics. If investors know Laser will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Laser Photonics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share 0.389 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.35) | Return On Assets (0.25) |
The market value of Laser Photonics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Laser that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Laser Photonics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Laser Photonics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Laser Photonics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Laser Photonics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Laser Photonics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Laser Photonics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Laser Photonics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.