Lazydays Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.64

LAZYDelisted Stock  USD 12.12  0.03  0.25%   
Lazydays Holdings' future price is the expected price of Lazydays Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lazydays Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Lazydays Holdings' target price for which you would like Lazydays Holdings odds to be computed.

Lazydays Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 10.64

The tendency of Lazydays Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.64  or more in 90 days
 12.12 90 days 10.64 
about 6.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lazydays Holdings to drop to $ 10.64  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.49 (This Lazydays Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lazydays Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lazydays Holdings price to stay between $ 10.64  and its current price of $12.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.57 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lazydays Holdings has a beta of -0.33. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lazydays Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lazydays Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lazydays Holdings has an alpha of 0.025, implying that it can generate a 0.025 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lazydays Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lazydays Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lazydays Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1212.1212.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.969.9613.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.8311.8311.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1112.1212.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lazydays Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lazydays Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lazydays Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lazydays Holdings.

Lazydays Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lazydays Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lazydays Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lazydays Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lazydays Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Lazydays Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lazydays Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lazydays Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lazydays Holdings is now traded under the symbol GORV. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Lazydays Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Lazydays Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 328.69 M.
Lazydays Holdings currently holds about 105.36 M in cash with (24.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.62.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Lazydays Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lazydays Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lazydays Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lazydays Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.7 M

Lazydays Holdings Technical Analysis

Lazydays Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lazydays Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lazydays Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lazydays Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lazydays Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Lazydays Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lazydays Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lazydays Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lazydays Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lazydays Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lazydays Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lazydays Holdings is now traded under the symbol GORV. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Lazydays Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Lazydays Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 328.69 M.
Lazydays Holdings currently holds about 105.36 M in cash with (24.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.62.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Lazydays Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Lazydays Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Lazydays Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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