Longboard Pharmaceuticals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.73
| LBPH Stock | USD 59.77 0.07 0.12% |
Longboard |
Longboard Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish below 31.73
The tendency of Longboard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.73 or more in 90 days |
| 59.77 | 90 days | 31.73 | about 15.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Longboard Pharmaceuticals to drop to $ 31.73 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.09 (This Longboard Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of Longboard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Longboard Pharmaceuticals price to stay between $ 31.73 and its current price of $59.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Longboard Pharmaceuticals has a beta of -0.77. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Longboard Pharmaceuticals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Longboard Pharmaceuticals is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Longboard Pharmaceuticals has an alpha of 1.1386, implying that it can generate a 1.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Longboard Pharmaceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Longboard Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Longboard Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Longboard Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Longboard Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Longboard Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Longboard Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Longboard Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Longboard Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Longboard Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Longboard Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Longboard Pharmaceuticals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Longboard Pharmaceuticals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (54.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Longboard Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 87.42 M in cash with (50.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.09. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kaye Randall of 30554 shares of Longboard Pharmaceuticals at 6.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Longboard Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Longboard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Longboard Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Longboard Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.5 M |
Longboard Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis
Longboard Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Longboard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Longboard Pharmaceuticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Longboard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Longboard Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
Longboard Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Longboard Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Longboard Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Longboard Pharmaceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Longboard Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Longboard Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Longboard Pharmaceuticals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Longboard Pharmaceuticals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (54.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Longboard Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 87.42 M in cash with (50.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.09. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kaye Randall of 30554 shares of Longboard Pharmaceuticals at 6.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Longboard Pharmaceuticals Backtesting, Longboard Pharmaceuticals Valuation, Longboard Pharmaceuticals Correlation, Longboard Pharmaceuticals Hype Analysis, Longboard Pharmaceuticals Volatility, Longboard Pharmaceuticals History as well as Longboard Pharmaceuticals Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Longboard Stock please use our How to Invest in Longboard Pharmaceuticals guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Longboard Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Longboard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Longboard Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.25) | Return On Assets (0.31) | Return On Equity (0.47) |
The market value of Longboard Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Longboard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Longboard Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Longboard Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Longboard Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Longboard Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Longboard Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Longboard Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Longboard Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.