Libra Insurance (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 753.87
| LBRA Stock | 872.90 24.10 2.69% |
Libra |
Libra Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 753.87
The tendency of Libra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 753.87 or more in 90 days |
| 872.90 | 90 days | 753.87 | about 87.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Libra Insurance to drop to 753.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.76 (This Libra Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Libra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Libra Insurance price to stay between 753.87 and its current price of 872.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Libra Insurance has a beta of -0.75. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Libra Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Libra Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Libra Insurance has an alpha of 1.0217, implying that it can generate a 1.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Libra Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Libra Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Libra Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Libra Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Libra Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Libra Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Libra Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Libra Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 118.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.31 |
Libra Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Libra Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Libra Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Libra is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Libra Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Libra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Libra Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Libra Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 20.7 M |
Libra Insurance Technical Analysis
Libra Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Libra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Libra Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Libra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Libra Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
Libra Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Libra Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Libra Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Libra Insurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Libra Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Libra Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Libra is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Libra Stock
Libra Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Libra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Libra with respect to the benefits of owning Libra Insurance security.