Leader Short Term Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.02
| LCCMX Fund | USD 8.30 0.01 0.12% |
Leader |
Leader Short-term Target Price Odds to finish over 8.02
The tendency of Leader Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 8.02 in 90 days |
| 8.30 | 90 days | 8.02 | about 86.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leader Short-term to stay above $ 8.02 in 90 days from now is about 86.23 (This Leader Short Term Bond probability density function shows the probability of Leader Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leader Short Term price to stay between $ 8.02 and its current price of $8.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Leader Short Term Bond has a beta of -0.0038. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Leader Short-term are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Leader Short Term Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Leader Short Term Bond has an alpha of 0.0541, implying that it can generate a 0.0541 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Leader Short-term Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Leader Short-term
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leader Short Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Leader Short-term Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leader Short-term is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leader Short-term's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leader Short Term Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leader Short-term within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0038 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.36 |
Leader Short-term Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leader Short-term for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leader Short Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 29.15% of its assets in cash |
Leader Short-term Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leader Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leader Short-term's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leader Short-term's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Leader Short-term Technical Analysis
Leader Short-term's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leader Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leader Short Term Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leader Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leader Short-term Predictive Forecast Models
Leader Short-term's time-series forecasting models is one of many Leader Short-term's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leader Short-term's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leader Short Term
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leader Short-term for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leader Short Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 29.15% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Leader Mutual Fund
Leader Short-term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leader Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leader with respect to the benefits of owning Leader Short-term security.
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