LOANDEPOT INC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.42
| LDD Stock | EUR 2.06 0.06 2.83% |
LOANDEPOT |
LOANDEPOT INC Target Price Odds to finish over 19.42
The tendency of LOANDEPOT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 19.42 or more in 90 days |
| 2.06 | 90 days | 19.42 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LOANDEPOT INC to move over € 19.42 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This LOANDEPOT INC A probability density function shows the probability of LOANDEPOT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LOANDEPOT INC A price to stay between its current price of € 2.06 and € 19.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.52 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LOANDEPOT INC will likely underperform. Additionally LOANDEPOT INC A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LOANDEPOT INC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LOANDEPOT INC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOANDEPOT INC A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LOANDEPOT INC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LOANDEPOT INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LOANDEPOT INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LOANDEPOT INC A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LOANDEPOT INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
LOANDEPOT INC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LOANDEPOT INC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LOANDEPOT INC A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LOANDEPOT INC A had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| LOANDEPOT INC A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| LOANDEPOT INC A has accumulated about 785.66 M in cash with (5.01 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.98, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
LOANDEPOT INC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LOANDEPOT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LOANDEPOT INC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LOANDEPOT INC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.145 |
LOANDEPOT INC Technical Analysis
LOANDEPOT INC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LOANDEPOT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LOANDEPOT INC A. In general, you should focus on analyzing LOANDEPOT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LOANDEPOT INC Predictive Forecast Models
LOANDEPOT INC's time-series forecasting models is one of many LOANDEPOT INC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LOANDEPOT INC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LOANDEPOT INC A
Checking the ongoing alerts about LOANDEPOT INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LOANDEPOT INC A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LOANDEPOT INC A had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| LOANDEPOT INC A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| LOANDEPOT INC A has accumulated about 785.66 M in cash with (5.01 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.98, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in LOANDEPOT Stock
LOANDEPOT INC financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOANDEPOT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOANDEPOT with respect to the benefits of owning LOANDEPOT INC security.