Land Securities Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.89
| LDSCY Stock | USD 7.20 0.69 8.75% |
Land |
Land Securities Target Price Odds to finish below 3.89
The tendency of Land Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.89 or more in 90 days |
| 7.20 | 90 days | 3.89 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Land Securities to drop to $ 3.89 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Land Securities Group probability density function shows the probability of Land Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Land Securities Group price to stay between $ 3.89 and its current price of $7.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Land Securities Group has a beta of -0.69. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Land Securities are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Land Securities Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Land Securities Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Land Securities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Land Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Land Securities Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Land Securities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Land Securities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Land Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Land Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Land Securities Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Land Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Land Securities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Land Securities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Land Securities Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Land Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Land Securities has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Land Securities Group has accumulated 3.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Land Securities Group has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Land Securities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Land Securities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Land Securities Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Land to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Land Securities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Land Securities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Land Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Land Securities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Land Securities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 742 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128 M |
Land Securities Technical Analysis
Land Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Land Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Land Securities Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Land Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Land Securities Predictive Forecast Models
Land Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Land Securities' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Land Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Land Securities Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Land Securities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Land Securities Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Land Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Land Securities has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Land Securities Group has accumulated 3.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Land Securities Group has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Land Securities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Land Securities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Land Securities Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Land to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Land Securities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Land Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Land Securities' price analysis, check to measure Land Securities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Land Securities is operating at the current time. Most of Land Securities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Land Securities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Land Securities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Land Securities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.