Lea Bank (Norway) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.99

LEA Stock   8.50  0.15  1.80%   
Lea Bank's future price is the expected price of Lea Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lea Bank ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lea Bank Backtesting, Lea Bank Valuation, Lea Bank Correlation, Lea Bank Hype Analysis, Lea Bank Volatility, Lea Bank History as well as Lea Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Lea Bank's target price for which you would like Lea Bank odds to be computed.

Lea Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 5.99

The tendency of Lea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5.99  or more in 90 days
 8.50 90 days 5.99 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lea Bank to drop to  5.99  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lea Bank ASA probability density function shows the probability of Lea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lea Bank ASA price to stay between  5.99  and its current price of 8.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lea Bank has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lea Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lea Bank ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lea Bank ASA has an alpha of 0.1445, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lea Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lea Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lea Bank ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.018.5010.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.496.989.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.318.8011.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.318.458.59
Details

Lea Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lea Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lea Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lea Bank ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lea Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Lea Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lea Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lea Bank ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lea Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lea Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lea Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0788

Lea Bank Technical Analysis

Lea Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lea Bank ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lea Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Lea Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lea Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lea Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lea Bank ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lea Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lea Bank ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lea Stock

Lea Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lea with respect to the benefits of owning Lea Bank security.