Lee Feed (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.54

LEE Stock  THB 2.42  0.02  0.83%   
Lee Feed's future price is the expected price of Lee Feed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lee Feed Mill performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lee Feed Backtesting, Lee Feed Valuation, Lee Feed Correlation, Lee Feed Hype Analysis, Lee Feed Volatility, Lee Feed History as well as Lee Feed Performance.
  
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Lee Feed Target Price Odds to finish over 2.54

The tendency of Lee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  2.54  or more in 90 days
 2.42 90 days 2.54 
about 37.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lee Feed to move over  2.54  or more in 90 days from now is about 37.35 (This Lee Feed Mill probability density function shows the probability of Lee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lee Feed Mill price to stay between its current price of  2.42  and  2.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lee Feed has a beta of 0.0018. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lee Feed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lee Feed Mill will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lee Feed Mill has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lee Feed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lee Feed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lee Feed Mill. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.42244.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.42244.43
Details

Lee Feed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lee Feed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lee Feed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lee Feed Mill, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lee Feed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Lee Feed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lee Feed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lee Feed Mill can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lee Feed Mill is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lee Feed Mill appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lee Feed Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lee Feed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lee Feed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding922.2 M

Lee Feed Technical Analysis

Lee Feed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lee Feed Mill. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lee Feed Predictive Forecast Models

Lee Feed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lee Feed's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lee Feed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lee Feed Mill

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lee Feed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lee Feed Mill help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lee Feed Mill is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lee Feed Mill appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lee Stock

Lee Feed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lee Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lee with respect to the benefits of owning Lee Feed security.