Leju Holdings Limited Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.07

LEJUDelisted Stock  USD 2.07  0.17  7.59%   
Leju Holdings' future price is the expected price of Leju Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Leju Holdings Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
  
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Leju Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 2.07

The tendency of Leju Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.07 90 days 2.07 
about 62.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leju Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.9 (This Leju Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Leju Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 5.41 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Leju Holdings will likely underperform. Moreover Leju Holdings Limited has an alpha of 1.8245, implying that it can generate a 1.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Leju Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Leju Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leju Holdings Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.072.072.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.971.972.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.033.033.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.262.493.72
Details

Leju Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leju Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leju Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leju Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leju Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.82
β
Beta against Dow Jones5.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Leju Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leju Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leju Holdings Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leju Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Leju Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 534.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (89.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 312.58 M.
Leju Holdings Limited currently holds about 251.5 M in cash with (107.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 18.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Leju Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leju Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leju Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leju Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments123.4 M

Leju Holdings Technical Analysis

Leju Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leju Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leju Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leju Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Leju Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Leju Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Leju Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leju Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Leju Holdings Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Leju Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leju Holdings Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leju Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Leju Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 534.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (89.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 312.58 M.
Leju Holdings Limited currently holds about 251.5 M in cash with (107.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 18.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Other Consideration for investing in Leju Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Leju Holdings Limited check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Leju Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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