Lennar Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 162.31
| LEN-B Stock | USD 164.37 0.75 0.46% |
Lennar |
Lennar Target Price Odds to finish below 162.31
The tendency of Lennar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 162.31 or more in 90 days |
| 164.37 | 90 days | 162.31 | about 23.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lennar to drop to $ 162.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.63 (This Lennar probability density function shows the probability of Lennar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lennar price to stay between $ 162.31 and its current price of $164.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lennar has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lennar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lennar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lennar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lennar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lennar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lennar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lennar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lennar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lennar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lennar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lennar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Lennar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lennar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lennar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has $2.94 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Lennar paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Lennar Ascends While Market Falls Some Facts to Note |
Lennar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lennar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lennar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lennar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 283.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.5 B |
Lennar Technical Analysis
Lennar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lennar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lennar. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lennar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lennar Predictive Forecast Models
Lennar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lennar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lennar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lennar
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lennar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lennar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has $2.94 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Lennar paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Lennar Ascends While Market Falls Some Facts to Note |
Check out Lennar Backtesting, Lennar Valuation, Lennar Correlation, Lennar Hype Analysis, Lennar Volatility, Lennar History as well as Lennar Performance. For information on how to trade Lennar Stock refer to our How to Trade Lennar Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.