Lifecore Biomedical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.44
| LFCR Stock | 7.41 0.09 1.20% |
Lifecore |
Lifecore Biomedical Target Price Odds to finish below 7.44
The tendency of Lifecore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 7.44 after 90 days |
| 7.41 | 90 days | 7.44 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lifecore Biomedical to stay under 7.44 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Lifecore Biomedical probability density function shows the probability of Lifecore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lifecore Biomedical price to stay between its current price of 7.41 and 7.44 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lifecore Biomedical will likely underperform. Additionally Lifecore Biomedical has an alpha of 0.6689, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lifecore Biomedical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lifecore Biomedical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifecore Biomedical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifecore Biomedical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lifecore Biomedical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lifecore Biomedical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lifecore Biomedical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lifecore Biomedical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lifecore Biomedical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Lifecore Biomedical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lifecore Biomedical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lifecore Biomedical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lifecore Biomedical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lifecore Biomedical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Lifecore Biomedical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why Greenhaven Road Capital Invested in Lifecore Biomedical - Insider Monkey |
Lifecore Biomedical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lifecore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lifecore Biomedical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifecore Biomedical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.5 M |
Lifecore Biomedical Technical Analysis
Lifecore Biomedical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lifecore Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lifecore Biomedical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lifecore Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lifecore Biomedical Predictive Forecast Models
Lifecore Biomedical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lifecore Biomedical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lifecore Biomedical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lifecore Biomedical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lifecore Biomedical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lifecore Biomedical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lifecore Biomedical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lifecore Biomedical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Lifecore Biomedical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why Greenhaven Road Capital Invested in Lifecore Biomedical - Insider Monkey |
Additional Tools for Lifecore Stock Analysis
When running Lifecore Biomedical's price analysis, check to measure Lifecore Biomedical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifecore Biomedical is operating at the current time. Most of Lifecore Biomedical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifecore Biomedical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifecore Biomedical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifecore Biomedical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.