Vaneck Longflat Trend Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 40.64
| LFEQ Etf | USD 51.13 0.33 0.65% |
VanEck |
VanEck LongFlat Target Price Odds to finish below 40.64
The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 40.64 or more in 90 days |
| 51.13 | 90 days | 40.64 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck LongFlat to drop to $ 40.64 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This VanEck LongFlat Trend probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck LongFlat Trend price to stay between $ 40.64 and its current price of $51.13 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.97 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck LongFlat has a beta of 0.83. This indicates as returns on the market go up, VanEck LongFlat average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck LongFlat Trend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck LongFlat Trend has an alpha of 0.0041, implying that it can generate a 0.004134 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VanEck LongFlat Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VanEck LongFlat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck LongFlat Trend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck LongFlat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck LongFlat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck LongFlat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck LongFlat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck LongFlat Trend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck LongFlat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
VanEck LongFlat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck LongFlat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck LongFlat Trend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Financial Enhancement Group LLC Decreases Stock Holdings in VanEck LongFlat Trend ETF | |
| The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
VanEck LongFlat Technical Analysis
VanEck LongFlat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck LongFlat Trend. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VanEck LongFlat Predictive Forecast Models
VanEck LongFlat's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck LongFlat's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck LongFlat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VanEck LongFlat Trend
Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck LongFlat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck LongFlat Trend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Financial Enhancement Group LLC Decreases Stock Holdings in VanEck LongFlat Trend ETF | |
| The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
Check out VanEck LongFlat Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck LongFlat Correlation, VanEck LongFlat Hype Analysis, VanEck LongFlat Volatility, VanEck LongFlat History as well as VanEck LongFlat Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
The market value of VanEck LongFlat Trend is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck LongFlat's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck LongFlat's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck LongFlat's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck LongFlat's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck LongFlat's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck LongFlat is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck LongFlat's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.