Life Electric Vehicles Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.25

LFEV Stock  USD 0.32  0.02  5.88%   
Life Electric's future price is the expected price of Life Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Life Electric Vehicles performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Life Electric Backtesting, Life Electric Valuation, Life Electric Correlation, Life Electric Hype Analysis, Life Electric Volatility, Life Electric History as well as Life Electric Performance.
  
Please specify Life Electric's target price for which you would like Life Electric odds to be computed.

Life Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 0.25

The tendency of Life Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.25  or more in 90 days
 0.32 90 days 0.25 
about 14.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Life Electric to drop to $ 0.25  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.58 (This Life Electric Vehicles probability density function shows the probability of Life Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Life Electric Vehicles price to stay between $ 0.25  and its current price of $0.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Life Electric has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Life Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Life Electric Vehicles will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Life Electric Vehicles has an alpha of 0.7817, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Life Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Life Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Life Electric Vehicles. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Life Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3214.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2914.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.4115.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.230.310.40
Details

Life Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Life Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Life Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Life Electric Vehicles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Life Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Life Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Life Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Life Electric Vehicles can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Life Electric is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Life Electric has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Life Electric appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Life Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Life Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Life Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Life Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0328

Life Electric Technical Analysis

Life Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Life Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Life Electric Vehicles. In general, you should focus on analyzing Life Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Life Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Life Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Life Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Life Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Life Electric Vehicles

Checking the ongoing alerts about Life Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Life Electric Vehicles help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Life Electric is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Life Electric has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Life Electric appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Additional Tools for Life Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Life Electric's price analysis, check to measure Life Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Life Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Life Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Life Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Life Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Life Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.